Focus list
No need to scan 600 cards, just the few that matter right now. Ranked by expected return times hit rate from the backtest. Current phase: Before the season starts.
Top up on the leaked informs
By Monday evening the full Team of the Week list is usually out. For every newly named player we buy the gold version while it is still in packs and therefore cheap. Little else happens today; the market is recovering from the weekend.
Tomorrow, Tuesday: Buy into the promo leaks
The week at a glance
The weekly rhythm sets when you buy and sell broadly. The leaks set which individual cards get added. Team of the Week and promos work differently: the inform names are known from Sunday, but the gold version only moves from Wednesday, and only for a few days. With a promo the price picks up before release and keeps running for another week afterwards. So we buy informs on Sunday and sell them on Friday, and we buy promo cards on Tuesday and hold them until the Thursday of the following week.
| Sunday | Stock up on meta cards, buy the leaked informsThe cheapest day of the week: Weekend League rewards and promo packs meet the fewest buyers. Today you buy broadly, and you sell it all again on Wednesday. The first Team of the Week names drop at the same time, and whenever a player is named we buy his gold version straight away. It costs the least today and goes out of packs on Wednesday. |
| Monday | Top up on the leaked informsBy Monday evening the full Team of the Week list is usually out. For every newly named player we buy the gold version while it is still in packs and therefore cheap. Little else happens today; the market is recovering from the weekend. |
| Tuesday | Buy into the promo leaksBy now it is usually clear who lands in Friday's promo. This is where you want to get in: in FC 26 the gold versions of those players were still at a normal price on Tuesday and were already 15 % higher on release day. For the Team of the Week it is the last chance instead: the leaks are public and plenty of people are piling in. |
| Wednesday | Sell the weekly trade, informs dropThe most expensive day of the week: the weekend supply has been cleared. Everything you bought broadly on Sunday goes out today. The new Team of the Week drops in the evening. From then on the gold versions of those players are out of packs and start to climb, so we keep holding those. |
| Thursday | Close the promo positions, buy nothing elseThe gold cards we bought before the last promo are six days past its release today, which is their high: in FC 26 they sat 43 % above entry on average and were in profit 87 % of the time. From tomorrow the promo leaves packs and the price breaks down. Buy nothing today: Division Rivals rewards flood the market, and anyone who bought on Thursday and sold on Sunday lost 11 % after EA tax on average in FC 26. |
| Friday | Sell the inform golds, the promo dropsTwo days after the inform release the gold version is paid best. We sell today rather than waiting for next week: as soon as the next Team of the Week drops, the card is back in packs and loses 23 % on average within three days. The new promo arrives in the evening; we have been holding the positions for it since Tuesday. |
| Saturday | Wait for SundayCheap already, but Sunday is another 3 % cheaper on average. Hold on to your coins. The promo positions from Tuesday stay where they are, they run until Thursday. |
Meta cards for launch
Official FC 27 ratings and attributes from the fut.gg database, plus the gameplay changes in the EA Pitch Notes. No price data, because there is none before the market opens.
The cards the game gets built around
No argument about how good they are, but they start at their highest price and fall for weeks after. Only buy after the first big drawdown.
| Card | Club | Why |
|---|---|---|
91 Kylian MbappéST | Real MadridLALIGA EA SPORTS | 97 acceleration, 96 sprint speed, 95 finishing. No weakness, but expensive, and it falls for weeks after launch. |
91 Erling HaalandST | Manchester CityPremier League | The strongest finishing and physical profile in the game, and headers now demand more precision, which suits him. |
90 Ousmane DembéléST | Paris SGLigue 1 McDonald's | 94 dribbling and 94 ball control, rated the best right winger in the database. |
90 Lamine YamalRW | FC BarcelonaLALIGA EA SPORTS | 95 dribbling, 94 agility. Exactly the attributes that gain from the new off-balance dribbling. |
90 Michael OliseRM | FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga | 92 dribbling with Bundesliga links, so the squad around him costs less. |
89 Vini Jr.LW | Real MadridLALIGA EA SPORTS | 94 acceleration and 94 agility, the second best left winger in the database. |
89 Khvicha KvaratskheliaLW | Paris SGLigue 1 McDonald's | 92 dribbling, playable on either wing. |
88 Achraf HakimiRB | Paris SGLigue 1 McDonald's | 95 sprint speed plus elite stamina. The default right back. |
89 Nuno MendesLB | Paris SGLigue 1 McDonald's | The highest rated left back, with no gap between pace and defending. |
90 PedriCM | FC BarcelonaLALIGA EA SPORTS | 94 short passing and 93 vision. He carries possession. |
90 RodriCDM | FC BarcelonaLALIGA EA SPORTS | The best pure holding midfielder in the database, and defending attributes matter again now that the AI defends worse. |
90 Jude BellinghamCAM | Real MadridLALIGA EA SPORTS | 93 stamina, and stamina counts for more now that pressing drains players faster. |
Strong stats, moderate price
This is the best trade-off between what a card does on the pitch and what it costs to get in.
| Card | Club | Why |
|---|---|---|
87 Federico ValverdeCM | Real MadridLALIGA EA SPORTS | Playable in midfield, at holding midfield and at right back. That flexibility saves you a whole squad budget. |
88 William SalibaCB | ArsenalPremier League | 92 standing tackle. Manual defending matters more this year, automatic defending less. |
84 Jérémy DokuLW | Manchester CityPremier League | 95 acceleration, 93 agility. The profile that gains most from EA levelling out the AcceleRATE types. |
82 Alphonso DaviesLB | FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga | 93 pace at a rating that sits well below how he actually plays. |
87 Gregor KobelGK | Borussia DortmundBundesliga | The best goalkeeper profile outside the expensive names. |
81 Micky van de VenCB | SpursPremier League | 90 pace and 93 jumping at centre back, a rare combination. |
84 Nico WilliamsLW | Athletic ClubLALIGA EA SPORTS | 92 pace and 92 agility, with La Liga links to the Real and Barcelona cards. |
84 Bryan MbeumoRM | Man UtdPremier League | 89 pace, playable up front and out wide. |
Cheap and still effective
Low rating, high stats, small price. In FC 26 this was the most profitable group of the opening weeks.
| Card | Club | Why |
|---|---|---|
80 Andrei RațiuRB | Rayo VallecanoLALIGA EA SPORTS | 94 pace for a three to four figure price. The classic starter squad lever. |
81 Jeremie FrimpongRB | LiverpoolPremier League | 95 acceleration, cheap because the rating looks low. |
80 Loïs OpendaST | OLLigue 1 McDonald's | 94 pace and 94 acceleration up front, with Bundesliga links. |
80 Fikayo TomoriCB | Milano FCSerie A Enilive | Strong defending at a low rating, and he gains from the weaker AI defending. |
83 Donyell MalenST | AS RomaSerie A Enilive | Pace, finishing and dribbling all above 83 at a low price. |
Which cards actually turn out to be meta is decided in the finished game. Before launch nobody has played the retail build in public. Once the market opens, measured signals replace this list.
What actually works in the first weeks
The cards talked up as meta at launch really do jump in the first few days: in FC 26 Ekitiké went from 6,000 to 37,000 coins in 24 hours. Holding them is what costs you: cards that creators called a buy in the first six weeks were down 54 % on average after 30 days, and 59 % after six weeks. Meta hype is a trade over days, not an investment over weeks.
Centre-backs and full-backs held up best in FC 26 (up 4 % over 30 days), strikers worst (down 19 %) along with cards rated 88 and above (down 23 %). The most reliable rule of the launch phase stays the same: sell what you pack, and build coins for the first big dip.
Buy now
Expected rise over the next 7 days from season phase, weekday, leaks and creator calls. In the FC 26 backtest, buy signals were right 63 to 68 % of the time, with an average move of +19 %.
Sell now
Cards the model expects to lose value over the next 7 days. Sell signals are the most reliable ones: a 74 % hit rate in the backtest. If a value for tomorrow is shown underneath, it pays to sell today: when the model calls 5 % down for tomorrow, the card fell 66 % of the time in the backtest, by 4.8 % on average.
Price range update expected
These cards have been stuck at the top of their EA price range for more than a week. At some point EA raises the range and the price jumps. In FC 26 cards like this gained 168 % over 30 days on average, and more than 50 % in 40 % of cases. This is an investment over weeks, not a trade over days: usually nothing happens in the first week.
How the selection is made: Methodology. Forecasts are probabilities, not guarantees. Budget 5 % EA tax on every sale.
























