Leaks & Rumours
What the leakers post, translated into market impact. Sources: FUT Sheriff, Fut Scoreboard, RunTheFUTMarket and others. Confidence = how solid the source and the wording are.
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Mbappé in the first promo: gold leaves packs for a week from 25 Sep
In the launch pitch notes discussion Mbappé is named as part of the first promo. His gold card would then be unpackable for about a week from 25 September.
- +12 %Kylian Mbappé gold – The gold version is no longer packable once the promo drops and gets scarce. After about a week it returns to the packs and the effect reverses.
- -6 %all meta cards on promo Friday – A promo launch means a wave of pack openings, which pushes the whole market down briefly).
Gallery rewards: Hall of Fame cards via tokens
FIFAUTeam describes the new gallery system, where tokens unlock Hall of Fame players. Those cards therefore do not enter the game through the transfer market.
- -5 %icons and heroes – Legend cards you can unlock for free compete with bought icons and dampen their prices.
A strong centre back is given away for free
Leaks say EA hands out a centre back for free early on, which the creator values at roughly 400,000 coins if it were tradeable. Alongside that there are leaks about squad foundation players and gold cards with five-star skills and weak foot.
- -10 %expensive centre backs – If a top centre back lands in everyone's squad for free, willingness to pay for bought alternatives in that position drops.
Web app start: welcome back packs and first objectives
When the web app opens there are welcome back packs and the first objectives. The creator advises collecting coins through objectives early rather than buying straight away.
- -8 %all gold cards – Welcome back packs flush extra cards into a market where hardly any coins are circulating yet.
Season 1 is Ones to Watch, but the cards are not in packs
Leaks say season one is called Ones to Watch, but the cards come only via objectives, the season pass and SBCs, and they are untradeable. A second live promo, Destined for Glory, runs alongside it and its cards are in packs.
- -4 %Gold versions of the Ones to Watch players – The OTW versions are untradeable and not in packs, so the usual scarcity effect does not happen and the reason to speculate on the gold version disappears.
Dates: web app 16 Sep, early access 18 Sep, release 25 Sep
The web app opens on Wednesday 16 September, the EA Play trial on 17 September at 1pm UK, full early access on 18 September and release on 25 September. The content roadmap puts Future Stars among the first promos rather than after TOTY.
- -12 %all tradeable cards – From the web app opening on 16 September everyone opens packs. Supply grows daily and prices fall through to release.
FC 27 Ones to Watch: promo event announced
FIFAUTeam points to an upcoming Ones to Watch event in FC 27, without a player list or a confirmed date. OTW promos typically cover players who moved in the summer, whose gold cards come under pressure beforehand, while the market dips slightly on promo release.
- -8 %gold cards of players who moved in the summer (OTW candidates) – Transferred players are likely to get a better OTW version, which takes value out of the gold card.
- -6 %all meta cards on promo release – A promo launch increases card supply through pack openings and pushes the whole market down briefly.